TCU
Oregon
Ohio State
Alabama
And yes it is always 'in that order'.
To look deeper into the rankings, it's a matter of how several statistical points balance out among all the teams. Let's look at the top ten offenses since all of the top schools rank high (except Ole Miss). I haven't mastered the blogspot spreadsheet yet, so you have to scroll to get the whole picture. The following shows the top ten offenses in order.
The first number is the total score used to rank the offenses. This is derived from the statistical points following, starting with Offensive Points Scored per game. As you can see Baylor is the highest points scored per game for an offense after I weight it for opponents strength in that corresponding defensive category. The scores range from 1.000 for the best and 0.0000 for the 128th ranked offense (Southern Methodist if you were wondering) Also note that the score differential between the first and second teams (.004) isn't the same as the point differential between the second and the third teams (.003). That is telling us that the Auburn's offensive points per game (weighted) is closer to that of Ohio State, than Ohio State is to Baylor. The points allotted for each category isn't a linear even number given from one to one hundred twenty eight, it shows the relative strength of each team in that category when weighted for the opponents that team has faces thus far. With the score for each category calculated, each score is weighted (this is the only subjective portion of this exercise) and totaled to give the final offensive score.
| RANK | TOTAL PTS | OFFENSIVE POINTS | RANK | RUSHING YARDS | RANK | PASSING YARDS | RANK | TOTAL YARDS | RANK | OFFENSIVE TD | RANK | TURN-OVERS | RANK | ||
| 1 | OREGON | 3.281 | 0.986 | 4 | 0.693 | 14 | 0.611 | 22 | 0.808 | 16 | 0.933 | 2 | 1.000 | 1 | |
| 2 | BAYLOR | 3.266 | 1.000 | 1 | 0.596 | 21 | 0.699 | 8 | 0.925 | 6 | 0.930 | 3 | 0.846 | 7 | |
| 3 | OHIO ST | 3.164 | 0.996 | 2 | 0.747 | 9 | 0.534 | 39 | 0.882 | 8 | 1.000 | 1 | 0.538 | 60 | |
| 4 | AUBURN | 3.006 | 0.993 | 3 | 0.767 | 8 | 0.543 | 38 | 1.000 | 1 | 0.912 | 4 | 0.538 | 60 | |
| 5 | GEORGIA | 2.877 | 0.860 | 8 | 0.740 | 12 | 0.425 | 77 | 0.796 | 17 | 0.802 | 5 | 0.885 | 4 | |
| 6 | MARSHALL | 2.854 | 0.868 | 6 | 0.706 | 13 | 0.572 | 28 | 0.947 | 2 | 0.786 | 8 | 0.538 | 60 | |
| 7 | MICHIGAN ST | 2.852 | 0.838 | 10 | 0.593 | 23 | 0.568 | 32 | 0.821 | 14 | 0.783 | 9 | 0.808 | 10 | |
| 8 | ALABAMA | 2.797 | 0.846 | 9 | 0.529 | 30 | 0.647 | 14 | 0.836 | 10 | 0.787 | 7 | 0.577 | 50 | |
| 9 | TCU | 2.766 | 0.862 | 7 | 0.567 | 27 | 0.646 | 15 | 0.793 | 18 | 0.738 | 12 | 0.636 | 40 | |
| 10 | GEORGIA TECH | 2.744 | 0.787 | 15 | 1.000 | 1 | 0.297 | 113 | 0.937 | 3 | 0.726 | 15 | 0.692 | 32 |
** Rushing and Passing Yards per game are not factored into final Offense Ranking
So while Auburn may lead the college world in yards per game, they do not stack up in all categories. Also note the difference in total points between each of the top ten. The difference between Oregon and Baylor is .015. For the next three teams the difference is a minimum of .100 A rather large gap indeed when you consider that the gap between the five and ten teams is .150 in total. So while Oregon and Baylor are essentially tied at the top (and are equally rewarded in this system for being a notch above) the next three are all noticeably less effective, with the final five in this list bunched together in the standings.
Along with Offensive Ranking there are four other Measures that go into the final overall ranking from week to week; including: Defensive Ranking, Special Teams Scoring differential, Team Record, and the Sloppy Index.
Anyway, I figured that given this unusual turn of events it might be worth while to show a little under the hood. And why just looking at the offense and defense ranks isn't showing the whole picture. And while Alabama and Georgia continue to preform in a manner that sets them above the rest, the other SEC teams are starting to fall off as they play out the schedule. It really looks as if the Mississippi schools were paper tigers after all.
Finally this system is a reflection of a teams entire body of work, not just who's hot and who's not. It takes more than one fluky game to push a team up or down at this time of year. The total statistical accumulation of data over the first eleven games has made the teams essentially what they are. Moving more than a slot or two in one week is a sign that things really were outside of what was to be expected from that team.
Anyway, enjoy; and I look forward to the last real week of college ball.
Cheers.
| RANK | SCHOOL | RECORD | CONFERENCE | OFFENSE RANK | DEFENSE RANK | |
| 1 | TCU | 10 - 1 | BIG 12 | 9 | 2 | |
| 2 | OREGON | 11 - 1 | PAC 12 | 1 | 40 | |
| 3 | OHIO ST | 11 - 1 | BIG 10 | 3 | 19 | |
| 4 | MICHIGAN ST | 10 - 2 | BIG 10 | 7 | 6 | |
| 5 | ALABAMA | 11 - 1 | SEC | 8 | 7 | |
| 6 | GEORGIA | 9 - 3 | SEC | 5 | 12 | |
| 7 | GEORGIA TECH | 10 - 2 | ACC | 10 | 10 | |
| 8 | BAYLOR | 10 - 1 | BIG 12 | 2 | 50 | |
| 9 | MISSISSIPPI | 9 - 3 | SEC | 37 | 1 | |
| 10 | MARSHALL | 11 - 1 | CUSA | 6 | 34 | |
| 11 | MISSISSIPPI ST | 10 - 2 | SEC | 11 | 30 | |
| 12 | FLORIDA ST | 12 - 0 | ACC | 15 | 24 | |
| 13 | WISCONSIN | 10 - 2 | BIG 10 | 13 | 33 | |
| 14 | KANSAS ST | 9 - 2 | BIG 12 | 28 | 28 | |
| 15 | AUBURN | 8 - 4 | SEC | 4 | 48 | |
| 16 | GEORGIA SOUTHERN | 9 - 3 | SUN BELT | 16 | 56 | |
| 17 | BOISE ST | 10 - 2 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 12 | 38 | |
| 18 | ARIZONA | 10 - 2 | PAC 12 | 34 | 36 | |
| 19 | MISSOURI | 10 - 2 | SEC | 52 | 15 | |
| 20 | CLEMSON | 9 - 3 | ACC | 59 | 5 | |
| 21 | LSU | 8 - 4 | SEC | 51 | 4 | |
| 22 | ARIZONA ST | 9 - 3 | PAC 12 | 33 | 25 | |
| 23 | OKLAHOMA | 8 - 3 | BIG 12 | 18 | 27 | |
| 24 | MEMPHIS | 9 - 3 | AMERICAN | 43 | 13 | |
| 25 | COLORADO ST | 10 - 2 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 17 | 66 | |
| 26 | DUKE | 9 - 3 | ACC | 41 | 44 | |
| 27 | LOUISVILLE | 9 - 3 | ACC | 36 | 8 | |
| 28 | CINCINNATI | 8 - 3 | AMERICAN | 25 | 45 | |
| 29 | NEBRASKA | 9 - 3 | BIG 10 | 26 | 42 | |
| 30 | UCLA | 9 - 3 | PAC 12 | 24 | 46 | |
| 31 | NORTHERN ILLINOIS | 10 - 2 | MAC | 40 | 67 | |
| 32 | MINNESOTA | 8 - 4 | BIG 10 | 47 | 32 | |
| 33 | LOUISIANA TECH | 8 - 4 | CUSA | 48 | 21 | |
| 34 | USC | 8 - 4 | PAC 12 | 38 | 43 | |
| 35 | ARKANSAS | 6 - 6 | SEC | 39 | 18 | |
| 36 | AIR FORCE | 9 - 3 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 57 | 69 | |
| 37 | UTAH ST | 9 - 4 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 78 | 20 | |
| 38 | UTAH | 8 - 4 | PAC 12 | 77 | 31 | |
| 39 | BOSTON COLLEGE | 7 - 5 | ACC | 44 | 73 | |
| 40 | WESTERN KENTUCKY | 7 - 5 | CUSA | 14 | 95 | |
| 41 | WASHINGTON | 8 - 5 | PAC 12 | 84 | 22 | |
| 42 | WESTERN MICHIGAN | 8 - 4 | MAC | 45 | 64 | |
| 43 | TEXAS A&M | 7 - 5 | SEC | 21 | 80 | |
| 44 | BYU | 8 - 4 | INDEPENDENT | 22 | 70 | |
| 45 | HOUSTON | 7 - 4 | AMERICAN | 72 | 26 | |
| 46 | NEVADA | 7 - 5 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 50 | 58 | |
| 47 | NAVY | 6 - 5 | INDEPENDENT | 23 | 88 | |
| 48 | N CAROLINA ST | 7 - 5 | ACC | 42 | 63 | |
| 49 | IOWA | 7 - 5 | BIG 10 | 70 | 47 | |
| 50 | UTEP | 7 - 5 | CUSA | 79 | 53 | |
| 51 | LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE | 8 - 4 | SUN BELT | 49 | 81 | |
| 52 | FLORIDA | 6 - 5 | SEC | 68 | 9 | |
| 53 | STANFORD | 7 - 5 | PAC 12 | 94 | 14 | |
| 54 | ARKANSAS ST | 7 - 5 | SUN BELT | 35 | 61 | |
| 55 | UCF | 8 - 3 | AMERICAN | 74 | 41 | |
| 56 | NOTRE DAME | 7 - 5 | INDEPENDENT | 31 | 74 | |
| 57 | E CAROLINA | 8 - 3 | AMERICAN | 20 | 104 | |
| 58 | SAN DIEGO ST | 7 - 5 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 88 | 37 | |
| 59 | MIAMI | 6 - 6 | ACC | 55 | 35 | |
| 60 | TENNESSEE | 6 - 6 | SEC | 71 | 52 | |
| 61 | TEXAS ST | 7 - 5 | SUN BELT | 46 | 86 | |
| 62 | S CAROLINA | 6 - 6 | SEC | 30 | 79 | |
| 63 | W VIRGINIA | 7 - 5 | BIG 12 | P | 51 | |
| 64 | RICE | 7 - 5 | CUSA | 56 | 92 | |
| 65 | PITTSBURGH | 6 - 6 | ACC | 29 | 85 | |
| 66 | TOLEDO | 8 - 4 | MAC | 32 | 112 | |
| 67 | KENTUCKY | 5 - 7 | SEC | 60 | 49 | |
| 68 | MARYLAND | 7 - 5 | BIG 10 | 64 | 65 | |
| 69 | APPALACHIAN ST | 7 - 5 | SUN BELT | 53 | 75 | |
| 70 | UAB | 6 - 6 | CUSA | 63 | 60 | |
| 71 | N CAROLINA | 6 - 6 | ACC | 19 | 98 | |
| 72 | PENN ST | 6 - 6 | BIG 10 | 105 | 16 | |
| 73 | VIRGINIA TECH | 6 - 6 | ACC | 98 | 17 | |
| 74 | RUTGERS | 7 - 5 | BIG 10 | 75 | 91 | |
| 75 | TEMPLE | 5 - 6 | AMERICAN | 116 | 3 | |
| 76 | TEXAS | 6 - 6 | BIG 12 | 101 | 11 | |
| 77 | ILLINOIS | 6 - 6 | BIG 10 | 73 | 62 | |
| 78 | BOWLING GREEN | 7 - 5 | MAC | 66 | 103 | |
| 79 | VIRGINIA | 5 - 7 | ACC | 90 | 23 | |
| 80 | BALL ST | 5 - 7 | MAC | 85 | 84 | |
| 81 | CENTRAL MICHIGAN | 7 - 5 | MAC | 89 | 78 | |
| 82 | NORTHWESTERN | 5 - 7 | BIG 10 | 92 | 57 | |
| 83 | OLD DOMINION | 6 - 6 | CUSA | 54 | 115 | |
| 84 | S ALABAMA | 6 - 6 | SUN BELT | 104 | 55 | |
| 85 | FRESNO ST | 6 - 6 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 67 | 109 | |
| 86 | MICHIGAN | 5 - 7 | BIG 10 | 108 | 54 | |
| 87 | MIDDLE TENNESSEE | 6 - 6 | CUSA | 69 | 99 | |
| 88 | BUFFALO | 5 - 6 | MAC | 62 | 111 | |
| 89 | FLORIDA INT | 4 - 8 | CUSA | 118 | 29 | |
| 90 | OREGON ST | 5 - 7 | PAC 12 | 82 | 90 | |
| 91 | OKLAHOMA ST | 5 - 6 | BIG 12 | 95 | 97 | |
| 92 | OHIO | 6 - 6 | MAC | 106 | 77 | |
| 93 | LOUISIANA-MONROE | 4 - 8 | SUN BELT | 110 | 71 | |
| 94 | NEW MEXICO | 4 - 8 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 76 | 113 | |
| 95 | CALIFORNIA | 5 - 7 | PAC 12 | 27 | 121 | |
| 96 | WYOMING | 4 - 8 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 99 | 87 | |
| 97 | AKRON | 5 - 7 | MAC | 109 | 68 | |
| 98 | INDIANA | 4 - 8 | BIG 10 | 80 | 108 | |
| 99 | SYRACUSE | 3 - 9 | ACC | 120 | 39 | |
| 100 | ARMY | 4 - 7 | INDEPENDENT | 87 | 122 | |
| 101 | PURDUE | 3 - 9 | BIG 10 | 96 | 101 | |
| 102 | N TEXAS | 4 - 8 | CUSA | 107 | 94 | |
| 103 | SOUTHERN FLORIDA | 4 - 8 | AMERICAN | 122 | 76 | |
| 104 | IOWA ST | 2 - 9 | BIG 12 | 81 | 116 | |
| 105 | KANSAS | 3 - 9 | BIG 12 | 115 | 89 | |
| 106 | FLORIDA ATL | 3 - 9 | CUSA | 103 | 110 | |
| 107 | TROY | 3 - 9 | SUN BELT | 102 | 107 | |
| 108 | SAN JOSE ST | 3 - 9 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 117 | 82 | |
| 109 | UTSA | 4 - 8 | CUSA | 121 | 83 | |
| 110 | WAKE FOREST | 3 - 9 | ACC | 125 | 59 | |
| 111 | HAWAII | 4 - 9 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 113 | 100 | |
| 112 | TEXAS TECH | 4 - 8 | BIG 12 | 58 | 120 | |
| 113 | MIAMI OHIO | 2 - 10 | MAC | 97 | 105 | |
| 114 | WASHINGTON ST | 3 - 9 | PAC 12 | 65 | 118 | |
| 115 | TULANE | 3 - 8 | AMERICAN | 114 | 72 | |
| 116 | SOUTHERN MISS | 3 - 9 | CUSA | 119 | 106 | |
| 117 | COLORADO | 2 - 10 | PAC 12 | 83 | 117 | |
| 118 | MASSACHUSETTS | 3 - 9 | MAC | 91 | 124 | |
| 119 | KENT ST | 2 - 9 | MAC | 123 | 102 | |
| 120 | CONNECTICUT | 2 - 9 | AMERICAN | 124 | 96 | |
| 121 | VANDERBILT | 3 - 9 | SEC | 126 | 93 | |
| 122 | NEW MEXICO ST | 2 - 10 | SUN BELT | 111 | 114 | |
| 123 | UNLV | 2 - 11 | MOUNTAIN WEST | 100 | 123 | |
| 124 | IDAHO | 1 - 10 | SUN BELT | 93 | 119 | |
| 125 | TULSA | 2 - 10 | AMERICAN | 86 | 128 | |
| 126 | GEORGIA ST | 1 - 11 | SUN BELT | 112 | 127 | |
| 127 | EASTERN MICHIGAN | 2 - 10 | MAC | 127 | 125 | |
| 128 | SOUTHERN METHODIST | 0 - 11 | AMERICAN | 128 | 126 |
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